Beef Marketplace Update 

Full-Year Review: 2025

Full-year 2025 retail snapshot from the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association, a contractor to the Beef Checkoff, highlights beef continuing to see record retail sales and intent to consume beef at the same level or more in the future.

Beef Continues to Lead Fresh Meat in Retail Value Growth

  • Beef remains the economic engine of the fresh meat case, showing double‑digit dollar growth across all major time periods.
    • 52‑week beef dollar sales: $45.1B, up 12.4%
    • Last 13‑weeks: up 11.3%
    • Last 4‑weeks: up 10.5%
  • This growth outperforms chicken, pork, and turkey, reinforcing beef’s premium position and ongoing consumer demand.

Ground Beef is the Standout Growth Driver

  • Beef Fresh Ground shows the strongest momentum among beef categories:
    • Dollar sales up 14.1% (52‑week) and 16%+ in both the 13‑ and 4‑week periods
    • Volume also growing modestly (+3.1% over 52 weeks) despite higher prices
    • Price per pound up sharply (10.6% to 15.2% increases)
  • Implication: Consumers continue to shift toward ground formats for value and versatility

Beef Steaks Sales Remain High, But Feeling Some Volume Pressure

  • Dollar sales up 10.2% (52‑week)
  • Volume is softening: 
    • Volume down 3.4% (13‑week) and down 6% (4‑week)
    • Price increases are significant (+7.7% to +8.6%), suggesting consumers are still buying—but at smaller quantities or selectively.
  • Implication: Premium cuts remain resilient, though price sensitivity is increasing.

 Roasts, Brisket & Value‑Add Categories Show Solid Momentum

  • Roasts
    • Strong price and volume growth across all
    • Indicates ongoing interest in at‑home cooking and meal prep.
  • Brisket
    • Mixed signals: dollar sales rising (up 6–16%), but volume uneven (down in longer periods yet +8.6% in 4‑week)
  • Value-Added Beef
    • Consistently strong growth in both value and volume across all periods; double‑digit dollar growth in 13‑ and 4‑weeks
  • Implication: Convenience‑oriented beef products are gaining traction and likely attracting time‑pressed consumers.
Beef’s Price Per Pound Continues to Climb

  • Beef’s average price per pound:
    • $7.22 (52‑week), up 7.7%
    • $7.40 (13‑week), up 8.2%
    • $7.67 (4‑week), up 8.7%
  • Compared to other meats, beef remains the highest‑priced protein but continues to sustain demand.
Competitive Landscape: Beef Outperforms Other Proteins

  • Across all timeframes:
    • Chicken: low‑mid single‑digit growth in dollars and volume
    • Turkey & Pork: flat to moderate growth; volume declines in recent periods
    • Meat Alternatives: sharp long‑term declines in both value and volume
  • Implication: The competitive set is holding steady relative to beef, offering producers more pricing power and category influence.
Bottom Line for Beef

  • Beef is winning on value, holding volume, and commanding higher prices across the board.
    • The category is healthy and growing, driven especially by ground beef and value‑added offerings, while steaks remain premium but slightly pressured on volume. Pricing strength suggests consumers continue to prioritize beef.
    • This environment positions beef producers' processors well for 2026—particularly those leaning into:
        • Ground beef and versatile formats
        • Value‑added, convenience‑focused products
        • Strategic pricing and mix optimization

Source:.Circana Multi-Market retail performance, period ending 12/28/2025

Source: Circana Multi-Market retail performance, period ending 12/28/2025

Source: Circana Multi-Market retail performance, period ending12/28/2025

As beef prices increase, consumers note maintaining or in some cases increasing their weekly consumption of beef at home. Consistent with retail sales performance, ground beef is the top choice either as an ingredient or as a patty for consumers eating at home on a weekly basis; a nod to ground beef’s value, convenience and versatility. While steak is seeing year-over-year price increases, weekly consumption of steak at home in the last week has either held steady or increased over the last four years, a testament to the premium quality product delivered through the retailer. 

Source: Consumer Beef Tracker January - December 2025. BBS, In the past week, which of the following types of beef have you eaten at home? (Select all that apply). 

Analysis: National Cattlemen's Beef Association, a contractor to the Beef Checkoff 

ARMS: #010726-06